Probabilistic forecasting

Weakly Informative Priors Flow Matching for Probabilistic Regional Solar Irradiance Forecasting

Probabilistic forecasting of regional surface solar irradiance provides critical technical support for the reliable operation and grid integration of large-scale and distributed photovoltaic power systems. However, stochastic fluctuations driven by …

An Overview of deterministic and probabilistic forecasting methods of wind energy

In recent years, a variety of wind forecasting models have been developed, prompting necessity to review the abundant methods to gain insights of the state-of-the-art development status. However, existing literature reviews only focus on a subclass …